WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇮🇹

Japan vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
ITA🇮🇹
77 Attack79
75🛡️ Defense87
78🎯 Midfield83
100📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Japan and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.55 expected goals for Japan versus 0.98 for Italy, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 49% · Draw 29% · Italy 22%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W W W
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1859)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026