⚽WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇪🇨

Japan vs Ecuador

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇪🇨 ECU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

0–0
🇪🇨

ECU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
ECU🇪🇨
77⚡ Attack74
75🛡️ Defense73
78🎯 Midfield72
100📈 Recent Form56
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W2–1
vs Venezuela
W3–1
vs Uruguay
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland

🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
L3–0
@ South Korea
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Japan and Ecuador are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Japan versus 0.75 for Ecuador, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 45% · Draw 34% · Ecuador 21%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • ✓Better recent form — W W W W W
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1897 vs 1849)
🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

ECU wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador · FIFA World Cup 2026