WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇨🇷

Japan vs Costa Rica

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇨🇷 CRC: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇨🇷

CRC

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
CRC🇨🇷
77 Attack67
75🛡️ Defense71
78🎯 Midfield68
100📈 Recent Form56
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇨🇷Costa RicaLast 5
W1–2
@ Congo DR
L2–1
@ Portugal
L4–1
@ New Zealand
W4–2
vs Cape Verde
W2–1
vs Peru
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Japan hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1888). The model projects 1.59 expected goals for Japan versus 0.93 for Costa Rica, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 51% · Draw 29% · Costa Rica 20%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1888 vs 1608)
  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
🇨🇷

Costa Rica

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

CRC wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇨🇷 Costa Rica · FIFA World Cup 2026