WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇦🇺

Japan vs Australia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇦🇺 AUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇦🇺

AUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
AUS🇦🇺
77 Attack70
75🛡️ Defense71
78🎯 Midfield72
100📈 Recent Form44
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇦🇺AustraliaLast 5
L1–0
@ Mexico
W5–1
vs Curaçao
W1–0
vs Cameroon
L3–0
@ Colombia
L1–0
@ Venezuela
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Japan hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1906). The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Japan versus 0.75 for Australia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 45% · Draw 34% · Australia 21%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1774)
🇦🇺

Australia

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

AUS wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇦🇺 Australia · FIFA World Cup 2026