⚽WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇺🇸

Italy vs USA

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇺🇸 USA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

0–0
🇺🇸

USA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
USA🇺🇸
79⚡ Attack75
87🛡️ Defense76
83🎯 Midfield74
65📈 Recent Form89
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇺🇸USALast 5
W1–0
vs Canada
W3–0
vs Mexico
W4–2
vs Chile
W4–1
vs Peru
L1–2
vs Germany
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1910). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.33 vs 1.25, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 37% · Draw 30% · USA 33%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1792)
🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

  • ✓Better recent form — W W W W L
  • ✓Stronger defence (1.4 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

USA wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇺🇸 USA · FIFA World Cup 2026