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🇮🇹vs🇺🇾

Italy vs Uruguay

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇺🇾 URU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇺🇾

URU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
URU🇺🇾
79 Attack78
87🛡️ Defense80
83🎯 Midfield77
65📈 Recent Form46
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Italy and Uruguay are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.97 vs 0.90, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 34% · Draw 36% · Uruguay 30%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Better recent form — W W D L L
  • Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1841)
🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

URU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay · FIFA World Cup 2026