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🇮🇹vs🇺🇾

Italy vs Uruguay

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇺🇾 URU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇺🇾

URU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
URU🇺🇾
79 Attack78
87🛡️ Defense80
83🎯 Midfield77
54📈 Recent Form46
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Italy and Uruguay are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.95 vs 1.04, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 30% · Draw 35% · Uruguay 35%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Better recent form — W D L L W
🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1892 vs 1859)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

URU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay · FIFA World Cup 2026