WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇺🇦

Italy vs Ukraine

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇺🇦 UKR: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇺🇦

UKR

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
UKR🇺🇦
79 Attack73
87🛡️ Defense75
83🎯 Midfield73
65📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇺🇦UkraineLast 5
L2–1
@ Denmark
W0–2
@ Poland
W1–0
vs Albania
W1–2
@ New Zealand
L4–2
@ Canada
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1869). The model projects 1.36 expected goals for Italy versus 0.95 for Ukraine, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Italy 44% · Draw 31% · Ukraine 25%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1780)
🇺🇦

Ukraine

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.4 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

UKR wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇺🇦 Ukraine · FIFA World Cup 2026