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🇮🇹vs🇹🇷

Italy vs Turkey

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇹🇷 TUR: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇹🇷

TUR

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
TUR🇹🇷
79 Attack75
87🛡️ Defense72
83🎯 Midfield74
65📈 Recent Form81
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇹🇷TurkeyLast 5
W1–2
@ Venezuela
W4–0
vs North Macedonia
L1–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ United States
W0–3
@ Hungary
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Italy and Turkey are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.02 vs 1.22, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 29% · Draw 32% · Turkey 39%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
🇹🇷

Turkey

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W L W W
  • Stronger defence (1.0 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

TUR wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇹🇷 Turkey · FIFA World Cup 2026