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🇮🇹vs🇹🇷

Italy vs Turkey

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇹🇷 TUR: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇹🇷

TUR

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
TUR🇹🇷
79 Attack75
87🛡️ Defense72
83🎯 Midfield74
54📈 Recent Form75
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇹🇷TurkeyLast 5
W4–0
vs North Macedonia
L1–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ United States
W0–3
@ Hungary
W3–1
vs Hungary
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Italy and Turkey are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Turkey are projected 1.35 xG against Italy's 1.07, reflecting their offensive dominance. Final probabilities: Italy 28% · Draw 30% · Turkey 42%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
🇹🇷

Turkey

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W L W W W
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1859)
  • Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

TUR wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇹🇷 Turkey · FIFA World Cup 2026