🇮🇹vs🇸🇪
Italy vs Sweden
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇸🇪 SWE: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇮🇹
ITA
0–0
🇸🇪
SWE
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇮🇹ITA
SWE🇸🇪
79⚡ Attack71
87🛡️ Defense71
83🎯 Midfield70
65📈 Recent Form60
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
D2–2
vs Greece
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1869). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.26 vs 1.42, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 32% · Draw 29% · Sweden 39%.
🇮🇹
Italy
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1731)
🇸🇪
Sweden
Why they could win
- ✓Stronger defence (1.2 conceded/match)
Head-to-Head Record
5
ITA wins
3
Draws
5
SWE wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇸🇪 Sweden · FIFA World Cup 2026