WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇸🇪

Italy vs Sweden

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇸🇪 SWE: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇸🇪

SWE

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
SWE🇸🇪
79 Attack71
87🛡️ Defense71
83🎯 Midfield70
54📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
L1–0
@ Luxembourg
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Sweden are projected 1.62 xG against Italy's 1.23, reflecting their offensive dominance. Final probabilities: Italy 27% · Draw 28% · Sweden 45%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1714)
🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

SWE wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇸🇪 Sweden · FIFA World Cup 2026