WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇷🇸

Italy vs Serbia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇷🇸 SRB: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇷🇸

SRB

🏆 Italy predicted to win

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
SRB🇷🇸
79 Attack76
87🛡️ Defense73
83🎯 Midfield72
65📈 Recent Form30
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇷🇸SerbiaLast 5
L5–1
@ Mexico
L3–0
@ Cape Verde
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
L3–0
@ Spain
W2–0
vs Austria
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1869). The model projects 1.45 expected goals for Italy versus 0.62 for Serbia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Italy's recent run of form (W-W-D-L-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Italy 56% · Draw 29% · Serbia 15%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1734)
  • Better recent form — W W D L L
🇷🇸

Serbia

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.4 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

SRB wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇷🇸 Serbia · FIFA World Cup 2026