Italy vs Serbia

Italy is likely to edge out Serbia in this match, given their superior Elo rating and defensive prowess, with a predicted score of 1-0 in their favor. The Italians' recent form has been inconsistent, but their overall statistical advantage and higher midfield rating suggest they should be able to control the tempo of the game. With a 56% win probability, Italy is the favored side, although Serbia's ability to draw or even win cannot be entirely dismissed.