WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇷🇺

Italy vs Russia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇷🇺 RUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇷🇺

RUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
RUS🇷🇺
79 Attack72
87🛡️ Defense72
83🎯 Midfield70
65📈 Recent Form60
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇷🇺RussiaLast 5
D0–0
@ Saudi Arabia
L3–2
@ United States
W3–1
vs Gambia
W2–0
vs Peru
W8–0
vs Kenya
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1869). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.03 vs 1.08, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 32% · Draw 33% · Russia 35%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1772)
🇷🇺

Russia

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (0.9 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

RUS wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇷🇺 Russia · FIFA World Cup 2026