WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇷🇺

Italy vs Russia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇷🇺 RUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇷🇺

RUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
RUS🇷🇺
79 Attack72
87🛡️ Defense72
83🎯 Midfield70
54📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇷🇺RussiaLast 5
L3–2
@ United States
W3–1
vs Gambia
W2–0
vs Peru
W8–0
vs Kenya
L2–0
@ Brazil
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.12 vs 1.33, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 30% · Draw 30% · Russia 40%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1766)
🇷🇺

Russia

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.0 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

RUS wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇷🇺 Russia · FIFA World Cup 2026