🇮🇹vs🇶🇦
Italy vs Qatar
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇶🇦 QAT: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇮🇹
ITA
0–0
🇶🇦
QAT
🏆 Italy predicted to win
Team Strength
🇮🇹ITA
QAT🇶🇦
79⚡ Attack66
87🛡️ Defense66
83🎯 Midfield66
65📈 Recent Form21
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🇶🇦QatarLast 5
D0–0
vs El Salvador
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1910). The model projects 1.41 expected goals for Italy versus 0.74 for Qatar, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Italy's recent run of form (W-W-D-L-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Italy 51% · Draw 31% · Qatar 18%.
🇮🇹
Italy
Why they could win
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1469)
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
- ✓Better recent form — W W D L L
🇶🇦
Qatar
Why they could win
- ✓Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)
Head-to-Head Record
5
ITA wins
3
Draws
5
QAT wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇶🇦 Qatar · FIFA World Cup 2026