WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇳🇬

Italy vs Nigeria

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇳🇬 NGA: Estimated

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇳🇬

NGA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
NGA🇳🇬
79 Attack74
87🛡️ Defense69
83🎯 Midfield70
65📈 Recent Form73
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇳🇬Nigeria

No recent match data available

🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1869). The model projects 1.30 expected goals for Italy versus 0.96 for Nigeria, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Italy 43% · Draw 31% · Nigeria 26%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1767)
🇳🇬

Nigeria

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.3 conceded/match)
  • Better recent form — W D W L W

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

NGA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇳🇬 Nigeria · FIFA World Cup 2026