WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇳🇬

Italy vs Nigeria

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇳🇬 NGA: Estimated

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇳🇬

NGA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
NGA🇳🇬
79 Attack74
87🛡️ Defense69
83🎯 Midfield70
54📈 Recent Form73
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇳🇬Nigeria

No recent match data available

🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.32 vs 1.09, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 40% · Draw 31% · Nigeria 29%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1770)
🇳🇬

Nigeria

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D W L W
  • Stronger defence (1.3 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

NGA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇳🇬 Nigeria · FIFA World Cup 2026