WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇳🇱

Italy vs Netherlands

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇳🇱 NED: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇳🇱

NED

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
NED🇳🇱
79 Attack85
87🛡️ Defense81
83🎯 Midfield83
54📈 Recent Form44
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
D2–2
vs Spain
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Netherlands hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1944). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.27 vs 1.53, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 30% · Draw 28% · Netherlands 42%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D L L W
🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1944 vs 1859)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

NED wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇳🇱 Netherlands · FIFA World Cup 2026