WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇲🇦

Italy vs Morocco

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇲🇦 MAR: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇲🇦

MAR

🏆 Morocco predicted to win

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
MAR🇲🇦
79 Attack76
87🛡️ Defense85
83🎯 Midfield79
54📈 Recent Form93
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇲🇦MoroccoLast 5
W4–0
vs Madagascar
W5–0
vs Burundi
W2–1
vs Paraguay
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W4–0
vs Uganda
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Italy and Morocco are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Morocco are projected 1.48 xG against Italy's 0.71, reflecting their offensive dominance. Morocco's superior momentum (W-W-W-D-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: Italy 16% · Draw 30% · Morocco 54%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1824)
🇲🇦

Morocco

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W D W
  • Stronger defence (0.3 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

MAR wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇲🇦 Morocco · FIFA World Cup 2026