🇮🇹vs🇲🇽
Italy vs Mexico
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇮🇹
ITA
0–0
🇲🇽
MEX
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇮🇹ITA
MEX🇲🇽
79⚡ Attack74
87🛡️ Defense74
83🎯 Midfield75
65📈 Recent Form28
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
L0–2
vs Chile
L3–0
@ United States
D1–1
vs Peru
D1–1
vs Colombia
W5–1
vs Serbia
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Italy and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.17 expected goals for Italy versus 0.81 for Mexico, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Italy's recent run of form (W-W-D-L-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Italy 43% · Draw 33% · Mexico 24%.
🇮🇹
Italy
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
- ✓Better recent form — W W D L L
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1868)
🇲🇽
Mexico
Why they could win
- ✓Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)
Head-to-Head Record
5
ITA wins
3
Draws
5
MEX wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
🏟️ Live eventsWatch It Live
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026