WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇯🇵

Italy vs Japan

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇯🇵 JPN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇯🇵

JPN

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
JPN🇯🇵
79 Attack77
87🛡️ Defense75
83🎯 Midfield78
65📈 Recent Form100
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Italy and Japan are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Japan are projected 1.36 xG against Italy's 0.97, reflecting their offensive dominance. Final probabilities: Italy 25% · Draw 31% · Japan 44%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W W W
  • Stronger defence (1.0 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

JPN wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇯🇵 Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026