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🇮🇹vs🇮🇷

Italy vs Iran

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇮🇷 IRN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇮🇷

IRN

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
IRN🇮🇷
79 Attack69
87🛡️ Defense73
83🎯 Midfield68
65📈 Recent Form67
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇮🇷IranLast 5
W2–0
vs Mali
D0–0
vs Gambia
W5–0
vs Costa Rica
L1–2
vs Nigeria
D0–0
@ Uzbekistan
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1869). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.95 vs 1.12, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 29% · Draw 33% · Iran 38%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1764)
  • Superior attack (1.8 goals/match avg)
🇮🇷

Iran

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (0.8 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

IRN wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇮🇷 Iran · FIFA World Cup 2026