⚽WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇮🇷

Italy vs Iran

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇮🇷 IRN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

0–0
🇮🇷

IRN

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
IRN🇮🇷
79⚡ Attack69
87🛡️ Defense73
83🎯 Midfield68
65📈 Recent Form37
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇮🇷IranLast 5
L2–0
@ Russia
L3–1
@ Uzbekistan
W2–0
vs Mali
D0–0
vs Gambia
W5–0
vs Costa Rica
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1910). The model projects 1.24 expected goals for Italy versus 0.96 for Iran, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Italy's recent run of form (W-W-D-L-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Italy 41% · Draw 32% · Iran 27%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1738)
  • ✓Better recent form — W W D L L
🇮🇷

Iran

Why they could win

  • ✓Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

IRN wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇮🇷 Iran · FIFA World Cup 2026