⚽WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇭🇷

Italy vs Croatia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇭🇷 CRO: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

0–0
🇭🇷

CRO

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
CRO🇭🇷
79⚡ Attack81
87🛡️ Defense82
83🎯 Midfield84
65📈 Recent Form45
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇭🇷CroatiaLast 5
W2–1
vs Slovenia
L0–2
vs Belgium
L3–1
@ Brazil
W1–2
@ Colombia
L2–0
@ France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Italy and Croatia are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Italy versus 0.89 for Croatia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Italy 43% · Draw 33% · Croatia 24%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • ✓Better recent form — W W D L L
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1856)
🇭🇷

Croatia

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

CRO wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇭🇷 Croatia · FIFA World Cup 2026