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🇮🇹vs🇭🇷

Italy vs Croatia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇭🇷 CRO: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇭🇷

CRO

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
CRO🇭🇷
79 Attack81
87🛡️ Defense82
83🎯 Midfield84
54📈 Recent Form30
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇭🇷CroatiaLast 5
L0–2
vs Belgium
L3–1
@ Brazil
W1–2
@ Colombia
L2–0
@ France
W2–0
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Italy and Croatia are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.25 vs 1.04, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Italy's recent run of form (W-D-L-L-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Italy 39% · Draw 32% · Croatia 29%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D L L W
🇭🇷

Croatia

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1908 vs 1859)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

CRO wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇭🇷 Croatia · FIFA World Cup 2026