WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇨🇷

Italy vs Costa Rica

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇨🇷 CRC: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇨🇷

CRC

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
CRC🇨🇷
79 Attack67
87🛡️ Defense71
83🎯 Midfield68
54📈 Recent Form69
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇨🇷Costa RicaLast 5
L4–1
@ New Zealand
W4–2
vs Cape Verde
W2–1
vs Peru
W0–2
@ Russia
W2–1
vs Peru
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.41 vs 1.41, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 36% · Draw 28% · Costa Rica 36%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1611)
  • Superior attack (1.9 goals/match avg)
🇨🇷

Costa Rica

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.3 conceded/match)
  • Better recent form — L W W W W

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

CRC wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇨🇷 Costa Rica · FIFA World Cup 2026