⚽WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇨🇷

Italy vs Costa Rica

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇨🇷 CRC: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

0–0
🇨🇷

CRC

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
CRC🇨🇷
79⚡ Attack67
87🛡️ Defense71
83🎯 Midfield68
65📈 Recent Form45
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇨🇷Costa RicaLast 5
W0–2
@ Mexico
L4–2
@ United States
L1–0
@ Canada
W1–2
@ Congo DR
L2–1
@ Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1910). The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Italy versus 1.03 for Costa Rica, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Italy 47% · Draw 29% · Costa Rica 24%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1587)
  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • ✓Better recent form — W W D L L
🇨🇷

Costa Rica

Why they could win

  • ✓Stronger defence (1.4 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

CRC wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

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🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇨🇷 Costa Rica · FIFA World Cup 2026