WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇦🇺

Italy vs Australia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇦🇺 AUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

00
🇦🇺

AUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
AUS🇦🇺
79 Attack70
87🛡️ Defense71
83🎯 Midfield72
54📈 Recent Form44
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium

🇦🇺AustraliaLast 5
L1–0
@ Mexico
W5–1
vs Curaçao
W1–0
vs Cameroon
L3–0
@ Colombia
L1–0
@ Venezuela
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.06 vs 1.04, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Italy 34% · Draw 33% · Australia 33%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1774)
  • Better recent form — W D L L W
🇦🇺

Australia

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (0.9 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

AUS wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇦🇺 Australia · FIFA World Cup 2026