⚽WhoWinsToday
🇮🇹vs🇦🇺

Italy vs Australia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇮🇹 ITA: Live data🇦🇺 AUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇮🇹

ITA

0–0
🇦🇺

AUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇮🇹ITA
AUS🇦🇺
79⚡ Attack70
87🛡️ Defense71
83🎯 Midfield72
65📈 Recent Form33
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France

🇦🇺AustraliaLast 5
L2–4
vs Brazil
D1–1
vs Brazil
D1–1
@ Switzerland
L1–0
@ Mexico
W5–1
vs Curaçao
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1910). The model projects 1.23 expected goals for Italy versus 0.89 for Australia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Italy's recent run of form (W-W-D-L-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Italy 42% · Draw 33% · Australia 25%.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1786)
  • ✓Better recent form — W W D L L
🇦🇺

Australia

Why they could win

  • ✓Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ITA wins

3

Draws

5

AUS wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇦🇺 Australia · FIFA World Cup 2026