WhoWinsToday
🇩🇪vs🇮🇹

Germany vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇩🇪 GER: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇩🇪

GER

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇩🇪GER
ITA🇮🇹
84 Attack79
82🛡️ Defense87
85🎯 Midfield83
89📈 Recent Form65
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇩🇪GermanyLast 5
W1–2
@ United States
W4–0
vs Finland
W2–1
vs Ghana
W3–4
@ Switzerland
L0–2
vs France

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Germany and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.49 expected goals for Germany versus 1.14 for Italy, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Germany 44% · Draw 29% · Italy 27%.

🇩🇪

Germany

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W W L
  • Higher Elo rating (1907 vs 1869)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

GER wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026