WhoWinsToday
🇩🇪vs🇮🇹

Germany vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇩🇪 GER: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇩🇪

GER

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇩🇪GER
ITA🇮🇹
84 Attack79
82🛡️ Defense87
85🎯 Midfield83
74📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇩🇪GermanyLast 5
W4–0
vs Finland
W2–1
vs Ghana
W3–4
@ Switzerland
L0–2
vs France
L1–2
vs Portugal

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Germany and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.68 expected goals for Germany versus 1.17 for Italy, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Germany 48% · Draw 27% · Italy 25%.

🇩🇪

Germany

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1925 vs 1859)
  • Better recent form — W W W L L
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

GER wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026