WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Ecuador vs Wales

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 WAL: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

WAL

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
WAL🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
74 Attack70
73🛡️ Defense71
72🎯 Midfield70
73📈 Recent Form39
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿WalesLast 5
D1–1
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Northern Ireland
L3–0
@ England
L0–1
vs Canada
W4–1
vs Iceland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1935). The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.51 for Wales, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Ecuador's recent run of form (W-D-D-W-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 46% · Draw 37% · Wales 17%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1691)
  • Better recent form — W D D W D
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Wales

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

WAL wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales · FIFA World Cup 2026