WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇺🇸

Ecuador vs USA

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇺🇸 USA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇺🇸

USA

🏆 Ecuador predicted to win

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
USA🇺🇸
74 Attack75
73🛡️ Defense76
72🎯 Midfield74
73📈 Recent Form56
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada

🇺🇸USALast 5
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
W2–1
vs Paraguay
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1935). The model projects 1.28 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.70 for USA, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Ecuador 49% · Draw 32% · USA 19%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1733)
  • Better recent form — W D D W D
🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

USA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇺🇸 USA · FIFA World Cup 2026