🇪🇨vs🇺🇸
Ecuador vs USA
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇺🇸 USA: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇪🇨
ECU
0–0
🇺🇸
USA
🏆 Ecuador predicted to win
Team Strength
🇪🇨ECU
USA🇺🇸
74⚡ Attack75
73🛡️ Defense76
72🎯 Midfield74
83📈 Recent Form36
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
🇺🇸USALast 5
L1–2
vs Germany
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1871). The model projects 1.42 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.66 for USA, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Ecuador's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 54% · Draw 30% · USA 16%.
🇪🇨
Ecuador
Why they could win
- ✓Better recent form — W W D D W
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1746)
🇺🇸
USA
Why they could win
Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.
Head-to-Head Record
5
ECU wins
3
Draws
5
USA wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇺🇸 USA · FIFA World Cup 2026