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🇪🇨vs🇺🇾

Ecuador vs Uruguay

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇺🇾 URU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇺🇾

URU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
URU🇺🇾
74 Attack78
73🛡️ Defense80
72🎯 Midfield77
73📈 Recent Form46
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada

🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Ecuador and Uruguay are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.77 vs 0.68, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 33% · Draw 40% · Uruguay 27%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D D W D
  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1892)
🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 77)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

URU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay · FIFA World Cup 2026