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🇪🇨vs🇺🇾

Ecuador vs Uruguay

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇺🇾 URU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇺🇾

URU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
URU🇺🇾
74 Attack78
73🛡️ Defense80
72🎯 Midfield77
83📈 Recent Form46
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Ecuador and Uruguay are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 0.84 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.63 for Uruguay, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Ecuador's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 36% · Draw 40% · Uruguay 24%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W D D W
  • Higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1841)
🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 77)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

URU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay · FIFA World Cup 2026