WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇸🇪

Ecuador vs Sweden

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇸🇪 SWE: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇸🇪

SWE

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
SWE🇸🇪
74 Attack71
73🛡️ Defense71
72🎯 Midfield70
83📈 Recent Form60
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
D2–2
vs Greece
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1871). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.08 vs 0.89, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 38% · Draw 34% · Sweden 28%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1731)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

SWE wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇸🇪 Sweden · FIFA World Cup 2026