WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇪🇸

Ecuador vs Spain

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇪🇸 ESP: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇪🇸

ESP

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
ESP🇪🇸
74 Attack86
73🛡️ Defense88
72🎯 Midfield92
83📈 Recent Form73
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇪🇸SpainLast 5
W1–3
@ Peru
D1–1
vs Iraq
D0–0
vs Egypt
W3–0
vs Serbia
D2–2
@ Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Spain hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (2259). Spain are projected 1.19 xG against Ecuador's 0.84, reflecting their offensive dominance. Final probabilities: Ecuador 24% · Draw 34% · Spain 42%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (0.7 conceded/match)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇪🇸

Spain

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 92)
  • Higher Elo rating (2259 vs 1871)
  • Superior attack (2.4 goals/match avg)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

ESP wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇪🇸 Spain · FIFA World Cup 2026