WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇷🇺

Ecuador vs Russia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇷🇺 RUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇷🇺

RUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
RUS🇷🇺
74 Attack72
73🛡️ Defense72
72🎯 Midfield70
73📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada

🇷🇺RussiaLast 5
L3–2
@ United States
W3–1
vs Gambia
W2–0
vs Peru
W8–0
vs Kenya
L2–0
@ Brazil
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1935). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.91 vs 0.80, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 34% · Draw 38% · Russia 28%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1766)
  • Better recent form — W D D W D
🇷🇺

Russia

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

RUS wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇷🇺 Russia · FIFA World Cup 2026