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🇪🇨vs🇶🇦

Ecuador vs Qatar

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇶🇦 QAT: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇶🇦

QAT

🏆 Ecuador predicted to win

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
QAT🇶🇦
74 Attack66
73🛡️ Defense66
72🎯 Midfield66
73📈 Recent Form7
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada

🇶🇦QatarLast 5
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain
L0–1
vs Lebanon
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1935). The model projects 1.23 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.51 for Qatar, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Ecuador's recent run of form (W-D-D-W-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 53% · Draw 33% · Qatar 14%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1423)
  • Better recent form — W D D W D
  • Midfield superiority (rating 72)
🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

QAT wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇶🇦 Qatar · FIFA World Cup 2026