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🇪🇨vs🇵🇱

Ecuador vs Poland

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇵🇱 POL: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇵🇱

POL

🏆 Ecuador predicted to win

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
POL🇵🇱
74 Attack74
73🛡️ Defense72
72🎯 Midfield71
83📈 Recent Form49
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇵🇱PolandLast 5
D2–2
vs Nigeria
L0–2
vs Ukraine
W1–0
vs New Zealand
W2–0
vs Moldova
L1–2
vs Scotland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1871). The model projects 1.54 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.55 for Poland, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Ecuador's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 60% · Draw 28% · Poland 12%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1710)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇵🇱

Poland

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

POL wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇵🇱 Poland · FIFA World Cup 2026