WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇲🇽

Ecuador vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
MEX🇲🇽
74 Attack74
73🛡️ Defense74
72🎯 Midfield75
73📈 Recent Form83
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Ecuador and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.73 vs 0.65, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 32% · Draw 41% · Mexico 27%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1867)
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026