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🇪🇨vs🇲🇽

Ecuador vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
MEX🇲🇽
74 Attack74
73🛡️ Defense74
72🎯 Midfield75
83📈 Recent Form87
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Ecuador and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.67 vs 0.78, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 26% · Draw 41% · Mexico 33%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1871)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026