🇪🇨vs🇲🇽
Ecuador vs Mexico
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇪🇨
ECU
0–0
🇲🇽
MEX
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇪🇨ECU
MEX🇲🇽
74⚡ Attack74
73🛡️ Defense74
72🎯 Midfield75
56📈 Recent Form28
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
L3–0
@ South Korea
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
L0–2
vs Chile
L3–0
@ United States
D1–1
vs Peru
D1–1
vs Colombia
W5–1
vs Serbia
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Ecuador and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.89 vs 0.76, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Ecuador's recent run of form (L-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 35% · Draw 38% · Mexico 27%.
🇪🇨
Ecuador
Why they could win
- ✓Better recent form — L W W D D
🇲🇽
Mexico
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 75)
Head-to-Head Record
5
ECU wins
3
Draws
5
MEX wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026