🇪🇨vs🇯🇵
Ecuador vs Japan
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇯🇵 JPN: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇪🇨
ECU
0–0
🇯🇵
JPN
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇪🇨ECU
JPN🇯🇵
74⚡ Attack77
73🛡️ Defense75
72🎯 Midfield78
73📈 Recent Form100
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Ecuador and Japan are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.78 vs 0.97, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 27% · Draw 36% · Japan 37%.
🇪🇨
Ecuador
Why they could win
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1906)
🇯🇵
Japan
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 78)
- ✓Better recent form — W W W W W
Head-to-Head Record
5
ECU wins
3
Draws
5
JPN wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇯🇵 Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026