WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇯🇵

Ecuador vs Japan

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇯🇵 JPN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇯🇵

JPN

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
JPN🇯🇵
74 Attack77
73🛡️ Defense75
72🎯 Midfield78
83📈 Recent Form100
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Ecuador and Japan are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.83 vs 0.91, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 29% · Draw 37% · Japan 34%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

JPN wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇯🇵 Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026