⚽WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇯🇵

Ecuador vs Japan

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇯🇵 JPN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

0–0
🇯🇵

JPN

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
JPN🇯🇵
74⚡ Attack77
73🛡️ Defense75
72🎯 Midfield78
56📈 Recent Form100
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
L3–0
@ South Korea
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco

🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W2–1
vs Venezuela
W3–1
vs Uruguay
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Ecuador and Japan are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Japan are projected 1.20 xG against Ecuador's 0.75, reflecting their offensive dominance. Japan's superior momentum (W-W-W-W-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: Ecuador 21% · Draw 34% · Japan 45%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • ✓Better recent form — W W W W W
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1897 vs 1849)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

JPN wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇯🇵 Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026