WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇮🇹

Ecuador vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
ITA🇮🇹
74 Attack79
73🛡️ Defense87
72🎯 Midfield83
83📈 Recent Form65
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Ecuador and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.99 vs 0.80, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ecuador 37% · Draw 36% · Italy 27%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026