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🇪🇨vs🇭🇷

Ecuador vs Croatia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇭🇷 CRO: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇭🇷

CRO

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
CRO🇭🇷
74 Attack81
73🛡️ Defense82
72🎯 Midfield84
83📈 Recent Form45
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇭🇷CroatiaLast 5
W2–1
vs Slovenia
L0–2
vs Belgium
L3–1
@ Brazil
W1–2
@ Colombia
L2–0
@ France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Ecuador and Croatia are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.67 for Croatia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Ecuador's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 41% · Draw 37% · Croatia 22%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇭🇷

Croatia

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 84)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

CRO wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇭🇷 Croatia · FIFA World Cup 2026