🇪🇨vs🇭🇷
Ecuador vs Croatia
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇭🇷 CRO: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇪🇨
ECU
0–0
🇭🇷
CRO
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇪🇨ECU
CRO🇭🇷
74⚡ Attack81
73🛡️ Defense82
72🎯 Midfield84
73📈 Recent Form30
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada
🇭🇷CroatiaLast 5
L0–2
vs Belgium
L3–1
@ Brazil
W1–2
@ Colombia
L2–0
@ France
W2–0
vs France
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Ecuador and Croatia are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 0.96 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.68 for Croatia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Ecuador's recent run of form (W-D-D-W-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 39% · Draw 38% · Croatia 23%.
🇪🇨
Ecuador
Why they could win
- ✓Better recent form — W D D W D
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1908)
🇭🇷
Croatia
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 84)
Head-to-Head Record
5
ECU wins
3
Draws
5
CRO wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇭🇷 Croatia · FIFA World Cup 2026