WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇨🇷

Ecuador vs Costa Rica

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇨🇷 CRC: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

00
🇨🇷

CRC

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
CRC🇨🇷
74 Attack67
73🛡️ Defense71
72🎯 Midfield68
83📈 Recent Form56
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand

🇨🇷Costa RicaLast 5
W1–2
@ Congo DR
L2–1
@ Portugal
L4–1
@ New Zealand
W4–2
vs Cape Verde
W2–1
vs Peru
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1871). The model projects 1.21 expected goals for Ecuador versus 0.72 for Costa Rica, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Ecuador 46% · Draw 34% · Costa Rica 20%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1608)
  • Midfield superiority (rating 72)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇨🇷

Costa Rica

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

CRC wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇨🇷 Costa Rica · FIFA World Cup 2026