⚽WhoWinsToday
🇪🇨vs🇦🇺

Ecuador vs Australia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇨 ECU: Live data🇦🇺 AUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇨

ECU

0–0
🇦🇺

AUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇨ECU
AUS🇦🇺
74⚡ Attack70
73🛡️ Defense71
72🎯 Midfield72
56📈 Recent Form33
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
L3–0
@ South Korea
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco

🇦🇺AustraliaLast 5
L2–4
vs Brazil
D1–1
vs Brazil
D1–1
@ Switzerland
L1–0
@ Mexico
W5–1
vs Curaçao
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Ecuador and Australia are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.95 vs 0.81, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Ecuador's recent run of form (L-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ecuador 35% · Draw 37% · Australia 28%.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • ✓Better recent form — L W W D D
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1849 vs 1786)
🇦🇺

Australia

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

ECU wins

3

Draws

5

AUS wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇨 Ecuador vs 🇦🇺 Australia · FIFA World Cup 2026