WhoWinsToday
🇭🇷vs🇮🇹

Croatia vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇭🇷 CRO: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇭🇷

CRO

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇭🇷CRO
ITA🇮🇹
81 Attack79
82🛡️ Defense87
84🎯 Midfield83
30📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇭🇷CroatiaLast 5
L0–2
vs Belgium
L3–1
@ Brazil
W1–2
@ Colombia
L2–0
@ France
W2–0
vs France

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Croatia and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.04 vs 1.25, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Italy's superior momentum (W-D-L-L-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: Croatia 29% · Draw 32% · Italy 39%.

🇭🇷

Croatia

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1908 vs 1859)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D L L W

Head-to-Head Record

5

CRO wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇭🇷 Croatia vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026