WhoWinsToday
🇨🇷vs🇮🇹

Costa Rica vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇨🇷 CRC: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇨🇷

CRC

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇨🇷CRC
ITA🇮🇹
67 Attack79
71🛡️ Defense87
68🎯 Midfield83
69📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇨🇷Costa RicaLast 5
L4–1
@ New Zealand
W4–2
vs Cape Verde
W2–1
vs Peru
W0–2
@ Russia
W2–1
vs Peru

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.41 vs 1.41, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Costa Rica 36% · Draw 28% · Italy 36%.

🇨🇷

Costa Rica

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — L W W W W
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1611)
  • Superior attack (1.9 goals/match avg)

Head-to-Head Record

5

CRC wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇨🇷 Costa Rica vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026