⚽WhoWinsToday
🇨🇦vs🇮🇹

Canada vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇨🇦 CAN: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇨🇦

CAN

0–0
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇨🇦CAN
ITA🇮🇹
71⚡ Attack79
70🛡️ Defense87
72🎯 Midfield83
62📈 Recent Form65
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇨🇦CanadaLast 5
L1–0
@ United States
W2–0
vs Peru
W1–0
vs Chile
D1–1
vs Republic of Ireland
W2–0
vs Uzbekistan

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1910). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.72 vs 0.84, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Canada 27% · Draw 39% · Italy 34%.

🇨🇦

Canada

Why they could win

  • ✓Stronger defence (0.4 conceded/match)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1739)

Head-to-Head Record

5

CAN wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇨🇦 Canada vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026