WhoWinsToday
🇧🇪vs🇮🇹

Belgium vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇧🇪 BEL: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇧🇪

BEL

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇧🇪BEL
ITA🇮🇹
83 Attack79
78🛡️ Defense87
81🎯 Midfield83
77📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇧🇪BelgiumLast 5
W0–2
@ Croatia
D1–1
@ Mexico
W2–5
@ United States
W3–0
vs Ukraine
L3–1
@ Ukraine

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Belgium and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.20 vs 1.21, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Belgium 34% · Draw 31% · Italy 35%.

🇧🇪

Belgium

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D W W L
  • Higher Elo rating (1888 vs 1859)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

BEL wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇧🇪 Belgium vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026